Mathnal Product Suite

Six AI-powered supply chain products. Explore each — see the problems they solve, the dashboards they power, and the results they deliver.

📈 Forecasting Engine
📦 Inventory Optimisation
📊 Dashboard Suite
🤖 Agentic Copilot
🚚 Transport Optimiser
🛡️ Risk Monitor
AI / MLDemand Planning

SC Forecasting Engine

Ensemble ML demand forecasting using XGBoost, LightGBM, LSTM, and Prophet — with automated bias correction, demand sensing, tracking signal alerts, and uncertainty quantification. Replaces Excel-based forecasting with a system that learns and improves every cycle.

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FORECAST ACCURACY — BEFORE vs AFTER 0% 25% 50% 75% SKU-A SKU-B SKU-C SKU-D SKU-E Before (Avg MAPE 38%) After (Avg MAPE 19%)
35%
Avg MAPE Reduction
6x
Faster Reforecast Cycle
22%
Safety Stock Savings
Zero
Undetected Bias
Problems We Solve How We Solve Them
High MAPE (30–55%) causing safety stock inflation, excess inventory, and working capital lock-up. Every 5% error = 10–15% excess cost.
Undetected forecast bias compounding monthly. Over-forecast bias of 12% creates $120K excess per month on a $1M SKU.
Manual Excel forecasting — slow, error-prone, cannot scale beyond 200 SKUs. No version control, no audit trail.
Management overrides degrade accuracy in 60–70% of cases. No FVA measurement to prove it.
Ensemble ML models auto-select best performer per SKU. XGBoost, LightGBM, LSTM, Prophet compete — accuracy improves 20–40%.
Automated tracking signal monitors CFE and triggers recalibration when |TS| > 4. Bayesian bias correction applied monthly.
Automated pipeline ingests data, trains models, generates forecasts for 10,000+ SKUs in minutes. Full audit trail and versioning.
FVA analysis measures every process step's contribution. Steps that degrade accuracy are flagged and eliminated.
Live Dashboard Preview

Forecast Accuracy by Product Family

Live KPIs
Electronics
MAPE 38%
Accuracy 81%
FMCG
MAPE 28%
Accuracy 88%
Pharma
MAPE 22%
Accuracy 91%
Spare Parts
MAPE 55%
Accuracy 72%
Automotive
MAPE 32%
Accuracy 85%
🏭
Manufacturing
Production planning based on ML forecasts. Reduce changeovers, align raw material procurement with actual demand.
🛒
Retail & FMCG
Store-level demand sensing with POS data, promotions, and weather signals. Reduce stockouts and markdowns.
💊
Pharma & Healthcare
Regulated demand forecasting with expiry-aware models. Handle intermittent demand for specialty drugs.
Case Study

FMCG Distributor — 14,000 SKUs

A national FMCG distributor was running monthly forecasts on Excel for 14,000 SKUs across 8 distribution centres. MAPE averaged 38%, with undetected over-forecast bias of 15% on seasonal products causing $2.4M in annual excess inventory.

Mathnal deployed the SC Forecasting Engine with XGBoost + Prophet ensemble, external signal integration (weather, festivals, POS), and automated tracking signal monitoring. Within 4 months, MAPE dropped to 19%, bias was corrected to within ±3%, and safety stock was reduced by 22% — freeing $2.4M in working capital.

38% → 19%
MAPE Reduction
$2.4M
Capital Freed
4 months
Time to Value
🔄
Auto Model Selection

Automatically tests 6+ models per SKU and selects the best performer based on out-of-sample RMSE.

Demand Sensing

Integrates weather, POS, Google Trends, and economic indicators for short-horizon correction.

🎯
Bias Detection

Tracking signal, CFE, and MPE monitored weekly. Auto-alerts when |TS| > 4.

📊
FVA Analysis

Measures whether each process step improves or degrades accuracy. Eliminates waste.

🔮
Uncertainty Bands

Prediction intervals at 80% and 95% confidence for risk-aware safety stock calculation.

🐍
Python + Cloud

Built on scikit-learn, statsmodels, PyTorch. Deployable on AWS, Azure, or on-premise.

Ready to fix your forecast?

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OptimisationInventory

Inventory Optimisation Engine

Dynamic safety stock using simulation, Bayesian methods, and multi-echelon modelling. Calculates optimal buffers at any service level — and tells you exactly how much working capital you can free.

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SAFETY STOCK — CURRENT vs OPTIMAL Cat A Cat B Cat C Cat D Current SS (Over-buffered) Optimal SS (98.5% SL)
28%
Safety Stock Reduction
$3.2M
Avg Capital Freed
98.5%
Service Level Maintained
47
Hidden Risk SKUs Found
Problems Solutions
Excess inventory locking millions in working capital. DOS at 60+ days when optimal is 35 days.
Static safety stock rules — same buffer applied regardless of demand variability, lead time, or risk profile.
Stockouts despite large buffers — wrong SKUs are buffered while critical ones are exposed.
No visibility into optimal vs. actual inventory. Finance asks "why so much stock?" — planning has no data-backed answer.
Simulation-based optimisation calculates exact buffer needed at 95/98/99% service level per SKU. Frees over-buffered capital.
Dynamic safety stock recalculated weekly based on actual demand CV, lead time variability, and forecast error.
Bayesian stockout probability identifies the 47 SKUs traditional models miss — targeted buffering where it matters.
Current vs. Optimal dashboard shows every SKU's gap. CFO gets working capital savings quantified to the dollar.
Case Study

Auto Parts Manufacturer — 2,200 SKUs

Carrying $10.3M in inventory with a fill rate of 93%. Frequent stockouts on C-category parts despite excess stock in A-category. Mathnal's Inventory Optimisation Engine recalculated safety stock using demand CV, lead time variability, and Bayesian probability. Result: 31% SS reduction ($3.2M freed), fill rate improved to 98.5%, and 47 at-risk SKUs identified that traditional methods completely missed.

31%
SS Reduced
93→98.5%
Fill Rate
$3.2M
Capital Freed

How much capital is trapped in your inventory?

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PlatformPower BI

SC Intelligence Dashboard Suite

Real-time Power BI dashboards for 15+ KPIs — OTIF, fill rate, inventory turns, forecast accuracy, lead time, warehouse utilisation — with SKU-level drill-down and automated threshold alerts.

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SC DASHBOARD — KPI OVERVIEW OTIF 94.2% ▲ 6pp FILL RATE 97.8% INV TURNS 8.4x WEEKLY OTIF TREND Decision Latency 3 days (was 12) Reports Replaced 23 Excel → 1 Dashboard
80%
Faster Reporting
15+
KPIs Tracked
3 days
Decision Time Saved
23→1
Reports Consolidated
Problems Solutions
No real-time visibility — teams make decisions on data that is days or weeks old.
23+ disconnected Excel reports taking 3–5 days to compile every month. By the time they're ready, the data is stale.
Cannot identify root cause of OTIF or fill rate failures. "We missed 92% OTIF" — but why? Which SKU? Which supplier?
Live Power BI dashboards updated daily. OTIF, fill rate, inventory turns, forecast accuracy — all in one view.
Automated data pipeline pulls from ERP/WMS, transforms, and publishes. Zero manual effort. Reports in seconds, not days.
SKU-level drill-down with root cause waterfall: was it forecast error? Lead time? Production? Shows exactly where to act.
Case Study

Pharmaceutical Distributor

Replaced 23 manual Excel reports with a single live dashboard. Decision latency dropped from 12 to 3 days. OTIF improved 6 percentage points within first quarter as teams could see and act on exceptions in real time.

12→3 days
Decision Speed
+6pp
OTIF Gain
23→1
Reports

Still running on Excel reports?

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Agentic AIAutomation

SC Agentic Copilot

Autonomous AI agent that monitors exceptions, generates corrective actions, and executes pre-approved responses — from reorder triggers to supplier escalations. Your planners focus on strategy; the Copilot handles the noise.

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EXCEPTION HANDLING — HUMAN vs COPILOT 55% Auto-Resolved Auto-Resolved (55%) Reorders, alerts, escalations Copilot-Assisted (25%) Planner approves AI recommendation Human Required (20%) Complex decisions needing judgment PLANNER TIME FREED 40%
55%
Exceptions Auto-Resolved
4x
Faster Response
40%
Planner Time Freed
24/7
Continuous Monitoring
Problems Solutions
Planners spend 70% of time firefighting — chasing exceptions, expediting orders, responding to alerts manually.
Decision latency 10–21 days because exceptions queue up. By the time someone acts, the disruption has cascaded.
Information overload — 200+ alerts per day. Planners can't distinguish critical from noise. Important signals get buried.
55% of exceptions auto-resolved by pre-approved playbooks. Reorder triggers, supplier escalations, and safety stock alerts handled autonomously.
Response in minutes, not days. Copilot detects anomaly, generates corrective action, and either executes or routes for one-click approval.
Priority-ranked exception queue with revenue impact scoring. Planner sees top 10 critical actions, not 200 noise alerts.
Case Study

Electronics OEM — 6,200 SKUs, 4 Regions

Deployed SC Copilot to monitor supply exceptions across 6,200 SKUs. 55% of exceptions auto-resolved. Planner capacity freed 40%, redirected to strategic sourcing. Decision latency dropped from 12 days to under 4 hours for critical alerts.

55%
Auto-Resolved
12d → 4h
Response Time
40%
Capacity Freed

Let AI handle the exceptions.

See how the Copilot handles your top 10 supply chain exceptions in a live demo.

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OptimisationLogistics

Transport Routing Optimiser

VRP and multi-stop route optimisation with time windows, vehicle capacities, and multi-depot scenarios. Produces actionable daily dispatch plans that reduce cost and improve delivery performance.

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ROUTE OPTIMISATION — COST IMPACT Transport Cost / Month Before: $74,200/mo After: $65,300/mo (-12%) Vehicle Utilisation Before: 68% After: 87% (+19pp)
12%
Transport Cost Reduction
87%
Vehicle Utilisation
$890K
Annual Savings
8
DCs Optimised
Problems Solutions
Manual route planning — dispatchers plan by experience. Suboptimal routes waste fuel, time, and vehicle capacity.
Low vehicle utilisation (68%) — trucks running partially loaded. High cost per unit shipped.
Late deliveries from poor stop sequencing. Time windows missed. Customer penalties applied.
VRP algorithm generates optimal multi-stop routes in minutes. Handles time windows, vehicle types, and capacity constraints.
Load consolidation maximises vehicle fill. Utilisation improves from 68% to 87%. Fewer trips, lower cost.
Time-window-aware sequencing ensures on-time delivery. Priority customers served first. Dynamic re-routing for exceptions.
Case Study

FMCG — National Distribution (8 DCs)

Optimised vehicle routing across 8 distribution centres serving 2,400 delivery points. Transport cost reduced 12% ($890K annually). Vehicle utilisation improved from 68% to 87%. On-time delivery rate improved from 89% to 96%.

$890K
Annual Savings
68→87%
Utilisation
89→96%
On-Time Rate

How much are inefficient routes costing you?

Upload your delivery data and get a free route optimisation analysis.

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Risk IntelligenceMonitoring

SC Risk Intelligence Monitor

Continuous supplier risk monitoring with geopolitical, financial, climate, and quality risk scoring. Early warning system that detects disruptions 14+ days before they hit your supply chain.

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SUPPLIER RISK HEATMAP Financial Geopolitical Climate Quality Sup A Sup B Sup C Sup D Low Medium Low Low HIGH HIGH Medium Medium Medium Low HIGH Low Low Low Low Medium ⚠ ALERT: Supplier B — Financial + Geopolitical risk elevated. Review sourcing strategy.
14 days
Earlier Warning
73%
Risks Anticipated
$1.8M
Avg Loss Prevented
340
Suppliers Monitored
Problems Solutions
Single-source dependency with no visibility into supplier health. One failure = production shutdown.
Disruptions discovered after they hit. Supplier misses delivery → production stops → customers impacted → revenue lost.
No systematic risk scoring. Risk management is ad-hoc — based on relationships, not data.
Multi-dimensional risk heatmap across financial, geopolitical, climate, and quality dimensions for every supplier.
14-day early warning using financial signals, news monitoring, and delivery trend analysis. Act before disruption hits.
Continuous automated scoring across 12 risk dimensions. Updated daily. Alerts when any supplier breaches threshold.
Case Study

Chemical Manufacturer — Critical Single-Source

Identified financial distress in a critical single-source supplier 14 days before delivery failure. Alternative supplier activated within 72 hours. Prevented $1.8M in production downtime. Now monitors 340 suppliers across 12 risk dimensions continuously.

14 days
Early Warning
$1.8M
Loss Prevented
340
Suppliers Tracked

Know your supplier risks before they become your crisis.

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